In this Plan we publish, wherever we can, actual results on all performance indicators (PIs) for the financial year which ends on 31 March. This is not currently possible for the financial PIs because their calculation depends on the closure of the accounts, which is completed after the 30 June publication date for the Best Value Performance Plan. So for those PIs we have to include estimated results rather than actuals. In last year’s Plan, there were in addition some other PIs for which estimates had to be shown because actual results could not be compiled in time for publication. The tables below reproduce the estimates published in last year’s Plan and compare these with the actual results.

It can be seen that, of the 42 estimates published, 31 of them (74%) turned out to be accurate, within a small margin of error. For the other 11 cases (26%), where there is a significant discrepancy between estimate and actual result, we have provided explanations of how the discrepancy came about. It should be noted that in 55% of the cases of significant discrepancy, our performance was actually better than the estimated performance.

The tables below show first those indicators for which there are significant discrepancies between estimates and actuals (with explanations provided), and then those for which estimates were accurate, within a 10% margin of error.

1. Actual results significantly different from estimates

A: Working with Partners to Deliver Quality and Responsive Services

PI Code	PI Description	Est. 2001/02	Actual 2001/02	Reason for Discrepancy
BV107	Planning cost per head of population.	£3.16	£2.74	A more accurate analysis of staff time and costs allocated meant less was charged to Core Planning.
BV156	Percentage of buildings open to the public in which all public areas are suitable for and accessible to disabled people.	27%	30%	Estimate was conservative, as the definition had changed in 2001/02.

B: Achieving Excellence in Education and Learning

PI Code	PI Description	Est. 2001/02	Actual	Reason for discrepancy
BV50	Percentage of young care leavers aged 16 or over with at least 1 GCSE at grades A*-G, or GNVQ	50%	35%	The PI concerns small cohorts of children, which makes prediction difficult

C: Improving Social Care and Support for Vulnerable People

PI Code	PI Description	Est. 2001/02	Actual 2001/02	Reason for discrepancy
BV49	Percentage of children looked after with 3 or more placements during the year	19%	16%	An improvement during the year combined with an increase in the overall number of children looked after
BV58	Percentage of people receiving a statement of their needs and how they will be met	75%	86%	A change in definition between 2000/01 and 2001/02 made it more difficult to estimate year-end figures
BV163	Adoptions of children looked after.	7%	9%	The difference is 4 adoptions. An estimate of 17 compared to 21 that actually took place

Social Services Performance Assessment Framework indicators

PI Code	PI Description	Est. 2001/02	Actual 2001/02	Reason for discrepancy
A6	Emergency psychiatric readmissions	7.58	12.9	This indicator is recorded by Health who have said there was under recording during 2000/01 which led to a lower estimate being set for 2001/02.

D: Creating a Better Transport System

PI Code	PI Description	Est. 2001/02	Actual 2001/02	Reason for discrepancy
BV94	Cost per passenger journey of subsidised bus services.	£0.89	£1.17	Large increase in bus contract costs, plus review of allocation of overhead costs.

F: Seeking a Safer County

PI Code	PI Description	Est. 2001/02	Actual 2001/02	Reason for discrepancy
BV95	Average cost of a working street-light.	£44.43	£34.73	Review of allocation of capital charges to Highways Maintenance area led to a reduction in amount allocated to street lighting.
BV176	The number of domestic violence refuge places per 10,000 population which provided/supported by the authority.	0.02	0.01	Council funding being replaced by transitional housing benefit.

G: Making the Priorities Work

PI Code	PI Description	Est. 2001/02	Actual 2001/02	Reason for discrepancy
BV15	Ill-health retirements as a percentage of the total workforce.	0.23%	0.27 %	The figure of 0.23% was the actual result, but the Audit Commission changed the definition of the PI after the publication deadline for the BVPP. We had to re-calculate the PI on the new definition. This accounts for the discrepancy of the (revised) actual figure from the previously published figure.

2. Actual results not significantly different from estimates

A: Working with Partners to Deliver Quality and Responsive Services

PI Code	PI Description	Est. 2001/02	Actual 2001/02
BV85	The cost per square kilometre of keeping parks and open land clear of litter and refuse.	£3,858	£3,974
BV109	Percentage of applications determined within 8 weeks.	32%	35%
BV115	The cost per visit to public libraries	£3.35	£3.42
BV116	Spend per head of population on cultural and recreational facilities and activities.	£18.94	£20.17
BV178	The percentage of the total length of footpaths and other rights of way that were signposted and easy to use by members of the public.	84%	79%

B: Achieving Excellence in Education and Learning

PI Code	PI Description	Est. 2001/02	Actual 2001/02
BV31	Individual schools budget as a percentage of local schools budget	85%	85%
BV32	Expenditure per head on adult education through LEA provided and secured provision	£5.18	£5.01
BV33	Youth service expenditure (i.e. LEA expenditure only) per head of population in youth service target age range	£66.79	£70.39
BV36a	Net expenditure per pupil in LEA schools: Nursery and primary pupils under five	£2,434	£2,526
BV36b	Net expenditure per pupil in LEA schools: Primary pupils aged five and over	£2,471	£2,504
BV36c	Net expenditure per pupil in LEA schools: Secondary pupils under 16	£2,936	£3,075
BV36d	Net expenditure per pupil in LEA schools: Secondary pupils aged 16+	£4,273	£4,475
BV44	Number of pupils permanently excluded during the year from all schools maintained by the authority per 1,000 pupils on rolls of schools maintained by the authority	0.87	0.85
BV161	Employment, education and training for care leavers.	50%	50%

C: Improving Social Care and Support for Vulnerable People

PI Code	PI Description	Est. 2001/02	Actual 2001/02
BV51	Costs of services for children looked after	£610	£597
BV52	Cost of intensive social care for adults	£337	£343
BV53	Households receiving intensive home care per 1,000 people aged 65 or over	10.0	10.0
BV54	Older people aged 65 or over helped to live at home per 1,000.	72	73
BV55	Clients receiving a review	64%	64%
BV56	Percentage of items of equipment costing less than £1,000 delivered within three weeks.	94%	94%
BV59	Assessments per 1000 population aged 65 or over	74	74
BV61	Spend on children in need but not looked after by the Council as a percentage of spending on all children’s services	31%	30%
BV162	The percentage of children on the register whose cases should have been reviewed that were reviewed	100%	97.1%

Social Services Performance Assessment Framework indicators

PI Code	PI Description	Est. 2001/02	Actual 2001/02
B9	Unit cost of children's residential care	£3,055	£3,008
B11	Intensive home care as a proportion on intensive home care and residential care.	27.2%	27%
C30	Adults with learning disabilities helped to live at home per 1,000	2.5	2.5
D35	Children looked after for at least 4 years who had been in foster placement for at least 2 years	55%	55%

Local Performance Indicators

PI Code	PI Description	Est. 2001/02	Actual 2001/02
LC1	The number of nights of respite care provided or funded by the authority per 1,000 adults.	87.7	88

D: Creating a Better Transport System

PI Code	PI Description	Est. 2001/02	Actual 2001/02
BV93	Cost of highway maintenance per 100 km travelled by a vehicle on principal roads.	£0.34	£0.34
BV97a	Percentage of non-principal classified roads with significant defects (visual inspection).	12%	11%